Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Famalicao |
| 41.17% | 27.93% | 30.9% |
| Both teams to score 47.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.27% | 58.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.74% | 79.26% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% | 28.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.3% | 63.7% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.41% | 34.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.69% | 71.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 12.33% 2-1 @ 8.32% 2-0 @ 7.84% 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 1.87% 4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.78% Total : 41.17% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.7% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.93% | 0-1 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 6.95% 0-2 @ 5.47% 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.22% Total : 30.89% |