Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 74.29%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 9.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.88%) and 3-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Benfica in this match.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Famalicao |
| 74.29% | 15.97% | 9.74% |
| Both teams to score 48.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.15% | 37.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.89% | 60.1% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.3% | 8.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.05% | 29.95% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.48% | 46.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.88% | 82.12% |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Famalicao |
| 2-0 @ 12.06% 1-0 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 9.82% 2-1 @ 9.24% 3-1 @ 7.52% 4-0 @ 6% 4-1 @ 4.59% 5-0 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.88% 5-1 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.76% 6-0 @ 1.19% 6-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.26% Total : 74.28% | 1-1 @ 7.57% 0-0 @ 4.05% 2-2 @ 3.53% Other @ 0.83% Total : 15.97% | 0-1 @ 3.1% 1-2 @ 2.9% 0-2 @ 1.19% 2-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.66% Total : 9.74% |