Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 15.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.54%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
| 15.58% | 21.09% | 63.34% |
| Both teams to score 49.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.36% | 46.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.09% | 68.91% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.35% | 42.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.01% | 79% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.93% | 14.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.33% | 41.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 5.12% 2-1 @ 4.27% 2-0 @ 2.18% 3-1 @ 1.21% 3-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.61% Total : 15.58% | 1-1 @ 10.03% 0-0 @ 6% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.86% Total : 21.09% | 0-1 @ 11.77% 0-2 @ 11.54% 1-2 @ 9.83% 0-3 @ 7.54% 1-3 @ 6.43% 0-4 @ 3.7% 1-4 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.74% 0-5 @ 1.45% 2-4 @ 1.34% 1-5 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.61% Total : 63.33% |