Famalicao

1 - 4

Porto

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 63.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 15.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.54%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.