Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15

Jan 24, 2021 at 8.15pm UK

Estadio Municipal 22 de Junho

Famalicao
0 - 1
Guimaraes

Ugarte (68'), Pereyra (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Almeida (12')
Estupinan (16'), Almeida (55'), Fernandes (86'), Wakaso (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 20.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.74%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.

Result
Famalicao	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
20.25%	24.56%	55.19%

Both teams to score 47.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.39%

53.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.89%

75.11%

Famalicao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.83%

41.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.29%

77.71%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.66%

19.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.88%

51.12%

Score Analysis

Famalicao 20.25%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 55.18%

Draw 24.56%

Famalicao	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 7.07% 2-1 @ 5.15% 2-0 @ 3.14% 3-1 @ 1.52% 3-2 @ 1.25% 3-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.19% Total : 20.25%	1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 7.96% 2-2 @ 4.23% Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.56%	0-1 @ 13.08% 0-2 @ 10.74% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-3 @ 5.89% 1-3 @ 5.22% 0-4 @ 2.42% 2-3 @ 2.32% 1-4 @ 2.15% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.89% Total : 55.18%