Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13

Jan 9, 2021 at 5pm UK

Parque Joaquim Almeida Freitas

Moreirense
2 - 2
Guimaraes

Pires (15'), Soares (70')
Pacheco (87'), D'Alberto (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Edwards (20'), Andre (68')
Quaresma (65'), Fernandes (86'), Mumin (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Moreirense and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 47.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 24.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Moreirense	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
24.96%	27.34%	47.7%

Both teams to score 45.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.6%

59.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.22%

79.77%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.19%

39.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.53%

76.47%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.01%

24.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.35%

59.64%

Score Analysis

Moreirense 24.96%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 47.69%

Draw 27.33%

Moreirense	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 9.16% 2-1 @ 5.85% 2-0 @ 4.22% 3-1 @ 1.8% 3-0 @ 1.3% 3-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.39% Total : 24.96%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 9.95% 2-2 @ 4.06% Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.33%	0-1 @ 13.79% 0-2 @ 9.56% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-3 @ 4.42% 1-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-4 @ 1.53% 1-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.22% Total : 47.69%