Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11

Dec 29, 2020 at 9pm UK

Estadio D Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
2 - 3
Porto

Rochinha (7'), Estupinan (63')
Mensah (15'), Pepelu (26')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Taremi (42', 65'), Diaz (80')
Baro (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 50.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Porto
23.79%	25.77%	50.44%

Both teams to score 48.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.31%

54.69%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.99%

76.01%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.75%

38.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.99%

75.01%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.28%

21.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.11%

54.88%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 23.79%

Porto 50.44%

Draw 25.77%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 7.98% 2-1 @ 5.86% 2-0 @ 3.84% 3-1 @ 1.88% 3-2 @ 1.43% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.57% Total : 23.79%	1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 8.31% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.77%	0-1 @ 12.68% 0-2 @ 9.68% 1-2 @ 9.31% 0-3 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 4.74% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-4 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.81% Other @ 3.13% Total : 50.44%