Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 61.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.47%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Porto in this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Porto |
| 16.64% | 22.06% | 61.3% |
| Both teams to score 48.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.18% | 48.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.08% | 70.92% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.43% | 42.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.07% | 78.93% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.57% | 15.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.72% | 44.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 5.61% 2-1 @ 4.48% 2-0 @ 2.4% 3-1 @ 1.27% 3-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.69% Total : 16.64% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.06% | 0-1 @ 12.28% 0-2 @ 11.47% 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-3 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 6.1% 0-4 @ 3.34% 1-4 @ 2.85% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-5 @ 1.25% 2-4 @ 1.22% 1-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.18% Total : 61.3% |