Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 48.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 24.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.61%) and 1-2 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 24.74% | 27.12% | 48.14% |
| Both teams to score 45.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.18% | 58.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.67% | 79.33% |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.32% | 39.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.64% | 76.36% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% | 24.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41% | 59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 9% 2-1 @ 5.84% 2-0 @ 4.16% 3-1 @ 1.8% 3-0 @ 1.28% 3-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.4% Total : 24.74% | 1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 9.73% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 13.67% 0-2 @ 9.61% 1-2 @ 8.88% 0-3 @ 4.5% 1-3 @ 4.16% 2-3 @ 1.92% 0-4 @ 1.58% 1-4 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.33% Total : 48.13% |