Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Dec 20, 2020 at 8pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
2 - 0
Nacional

Oliveira (21' pen.), Marega (39')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pedrao (20'), Azouni (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 71.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 10.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.32%) and 3-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Porto in this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Nacional
71.37%	17.73%	10.9%

Both teams to score 46.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.34%

42.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.93%

65.07%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.35%

10.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.51%

34.49%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.51%

47.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.15%

82.85%

Score Analysis

Porto 71.36%

Nacional 10.9%

Draw 17.73%

Porto	Draw	Nacional
2-0 @ 12.68% 1-0 @ 11.32% 3-0 @ 9.47% 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-1 @ 7.05% 4-0 @ 5.3% 4-1 @ 3.95% 3-2 @ 2.63% 5-0 @ 2.38% 5-1 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 3.89% Total : 71.36%	1-1 @ 8.43% 0-0 @ 5.06% 2-2 @ 3.52% Other @ 0.73% Total : 17.73%	0-1 @ 3.77% 1-2 @ 3.14% 0-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 2.59% Total : 10.9%

How you voted: Porto vs Nacional

Porto

100%

Draw

0.0%

Nacional