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Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Oct 25, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Braga

Guimaraes
0 - 1
Braga


Andre (26'), Rochinha (73'), Suliman (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Esgaio (27')
Paulinho (55'), Castro (67')
Carmo (82'), Fransergio (86')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Braga.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawBraga
35.58%27.05%37.37%
Both teams to score 50.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.4%54.6%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.06%75.94%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68%29.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.71%65.29%
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.76%28.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.05%63.95%
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 35.57%
    Braga 37.36%
    Draw 27.05%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawBraga
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 7.88%
2-0 @ 6.23%
3-1 @ 3.22%
3-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 35.57%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.28%
2-2 @ 4.98%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 10.46%
1-2 @ 8.12%
0-2 @ 6.62%
1-3 @ 3.42%
0-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 37.36%