Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
30.96% | 27.89% | 41.14% |
Both teams to score 47.2% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.43% | 58.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.86% | 79.14% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.54% | 34.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.83% | 71.17% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.01% | 27.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.37% | 63.62% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 6.97% 2-0 @ 5.47% 3-1 @ 2.48% 3-0 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.25% Total : 30.96% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 12.27% 1-2 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 7.82% 1-3 @ 3.54% 0-3 @ 3.32% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.79% Total : 41.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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