Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9

Dec 5, 2020 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio D Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Portimonense

Andre (32')
Silvio (18'), Mumin (27'), Pepelu (65'), Quaresma (82'), Maddox (90+4'), Janvier (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Possignolo (29'), Sa (43'), Dener (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (10.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Portimonense
41.11%	28.66%	30.22%

Both teams to score 44.8%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.55%

61.44%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.67%

81.32%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.61%

29.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.62%

65.37%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.45%

36.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.66%

73.33%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 41.11%

Portimonense 30.22%

Draw 28.65%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 13.15% 2-1 @ 8.11% 2-0 @ 8.05% 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 3.29% 3-2 @ 1.67% 4-1 @ 1.01% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.52% Total : 41.11%	1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 10.74% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.65%	0-1 @ 10.81% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 2.24% 0-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 1.88% Total : 30.22%