Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 15.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.01%) and 1-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 15.98% | 25.22% | 58.81% |
| Both teams to score 38.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.89% | 61.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.92% | 81.07% |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.18% | 50.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.78% | 85.22% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.12% | 20.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.42% | 53.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 7.18% 2-1 @ 3.81% 2-0 @ 2.43% Other @ 2.56% Total : 15.98% | 1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 2.98% Other @ 0.38% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 16.61% 0-2 @ 13.01% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-3 @ 6.8% 1-3 @ 4.6% 0-4 @ 2.66% 1-4 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.93% Total : 58.79% |