Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 32.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 40.35% | 27.5% | 32.15% |
| Both teams to score 48.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.16% | 56.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.23% | 77.77% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.39% | 27.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.86% | 63.14% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.3% | 32.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.75% | 69.25% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% 2-1 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.91% Total : 40.34% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 9.03% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 5.64% 1-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.15% |