Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Oct 24, 2020 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Sao Miguel
Sporting Lisbon

Santa Clara
1 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Thiago (42')
Gonzalez (18'), Sagna (45+1'), Carvalho (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Goncalves (20', 81')
Coates (90+3')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Sporting Lisbon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 26.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Santa ClaraDrawSporting Lisbon
26.34%25.25%48.41%
Both teams to score 52.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.28%50.72%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.38%72.62%
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.14%33.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.47%70.53%
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.03%20.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.28%53.72%
Score Analysis
    Santa Clara 26.34%
    Sporting Lisbon 48.41%
    Draw 25.25%
Santa ClaraDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 7.69%
2-1 @ 6.5%
2-0 @ 4.16%
3-1 @ 2.35%
3-2 @ 1.83%
3-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 26.34%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 7.1%
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 11.09%
1-2 @ 9.38%
0-2 @ 8.66%
1-3 @ 4.89%
0-3 @ 4.51%
2-3 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 1.91%
0-4 @ 1.76%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 48.41%