Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 63.45% | 20.52% | 16.03% |
| Both teams to score 52.16% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.68% | 43.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.28% | 65.72% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87% | 13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.48% | 39.52% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.95% | 40.05% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.3% | 76.7% |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 2-0 @ 10.83% 1-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 9.92% 3-0 @ 7.37% 3-1 @ 6.75% 4-0 @ 3.76% 4-1 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-2 @ 1.57% 5-0 @ 1.54% 5-1 @ 1.4% Other @ 3.17% Total : 63.45% | 1-1 @ 9.72% 0-0 @ 5.21% 2-2 @ 4.54% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.52% | 0-1 @ 4.76% 1-2 @ 4.45% 0-2 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.38% 1-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 1.9% Total : 16.03% |