Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Desportivo das Aves had a probability of 17.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.85%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Desportivo das Aves win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Desportivo das Aves |
| 59.09% | 23.63% | 17.28% |
| Both teams to score 45.27% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.08% | 53.92% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.63% | 75.37% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82% | 17.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.14% | 48.86% |
| Desportivo das Aves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.2% | 44.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.23% | 80.77% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Desportivo das Aves |
| 1-0 @ 13.82% 2-0 @ 11.85% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 6.78% 3-1 @ 5.44% 4-0 @ 2.91% 4-1 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 2.19% 5-0 @ 1% 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.31% Total : 59.08% | 1-1 @ 11.1% 0-0 @ 8.06% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.64% Total : 23.62% | 0-1 @ 6.47% 1-2 @ 4.46% 0-2 @ 2.6% 1-3 @ 1.19% 2-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.54% Total : 17.28% |