Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 30.42% | 25.81% | 43.77% |
| Both teams to score 53.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.29% | 50.71% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.39% | 72.61% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.23% | 30.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.97% | 67.03% |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.93% | 23.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.09% | 56.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 8.37% 2-1 @ 7.23% 2-0 @ 4.93% 3-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.08% 3-0 @ 1.94% Other @ 3.03% Total : 30.42% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 9% 0-2 @ 7.63% 1-3 @ 4.4% 0-3 @ 3.73% 2-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.07% Total : 43.77% |