Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
42.45% | 26.93% | 30.61% |
Both teams to score 49.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.88% | 55.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.63% | 76.37% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.32% | 25.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.41% | 60.59% |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.1% | 32.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.53% | 69.47% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.81% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.45% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.45% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 5.22% 1-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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