Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 42.45% | 26.93% | 30.61% |
| Both teams to score 49.87% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.88% | 55.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.63% | 76.37% |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.32% | 25.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.41% | 60.59% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.1% | 32.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.53% | 69.47% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
| 1-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 7.81% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.45% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.45% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 9.39% 1-2 @ 7.1% 0-2 @ 5.22% 1-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 1.94% 2-3 @ 1.79% Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.61% |