Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Oct 4, 2020 at 9pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Portimão

Portimonense
0 - 2
Sporting Lisbon

Possignolo (40')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Mendes (4'), Santos (11')
Coates (46')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Sporting Lisbon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 46.32%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
27.46%	26.22%	46.32%

Both teams to score 50.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.19%

53.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.72%

75.28%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.4%

34.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.67%

71.33%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.8%

23.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.91%

57.09%

Score Analysis

Portimonense 27.46%

Sporting Lisbon 46.31%

Draw 26.21%

Portimonense	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 8.52% 2-1 @ 6.6% 2-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.71% 3-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.18% Total : 27.46%	1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 8.03% 2-2 @ 4.83% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.21%	0-1 @ 11.72% 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-2 @ 8.57% 1-3 @ 4.43% 0-3 @ 4.17% 2-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.62% 0-4 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.84% Total : 46.31%