Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 23.28% | 24.46% | 52.26% |
| Both teams to score 51.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.98% | 50.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.01% | 72% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.88% | 36.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.1% | 72.9% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.89% | 19.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.27% | 50.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 7.03% 2-1 @ 5.92% 2-0 @ 3.58% 3-1 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.66% 3-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.86% Total : 23.28% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 6.9% 2-2 @ 4.9% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 11.42% 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-2 @ 9.45% 1-3 @ 5.31% 0-3 @ 5.22% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 2.2% 0-4 @ 2.16% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.06% Total : 52.26% |