Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 14.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.75%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Vitoria de Setubal win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vitoria de Setubal |
| 62.78% | 22.38% | 14.85% |
| Both teams to score 43.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.88% | 53.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.31% | 74.69% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.59% | 16.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.93% | 46.07% |
| Vitoria de Setubal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.41% | 47.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.07% | 82.93% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Vitoria de Setubal |
| 1-0 @ 14.11% 2-0 @ 12.75% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 5.71% 4-0 @ 3.47% 4-1 @ 2.58% 3-2 @ 2.12% 5-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 0.96% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.74% Total : 62.77% | 1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 7.81% 2-2 @ 3.52% Other @ 0.57% Total : 22.38% | 0-1 @ 5.8% 1-2 @ 3.89% 0-2 @ 2.15% 1-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.04% Total : 14.85% |