Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 52.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 23.9% | 23.9% | 52.2% |
| Both teams to score 54.13% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.89% | 47.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.65% | 69.35% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.03% | 33.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.35% | 70.64% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.97% | 18.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.09% | 48.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 6.61% 2-1 @ 6.12% 2-0 @ 3.57% 3-1 @ 2.2% 3-2 @ 1.89% 3-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.23% Total : 23.9% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 6.12% 2-2 @ 5.24% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.89% | 0-1 @ 10.49% 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-2 @ 8.99% 1-3 @ 5.54% 0-3 @ 5.13% 2-3 @ 2.99% 1-4 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.49% Total : 52.2% |