Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Desportivo das Aves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Jun 29, 2020 at 5pm UK
Estadio do CD das Aves
Moreirense

Aves
0 - 1
Moreirense


Estrela (36'), Araujo (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Abreu (52')
Conte (44')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Desportivo das Aves and Moreirense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Desportivo das Aves had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Desportivo das Aves win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Moreirense in this match.

Result
Desportivo das AvesDrawMoreirense
30.52%27.67%41.81%
Both teams to score 47.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.09%57.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.38%78.61%
Desportivo das Aves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.57%34.43%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.86%71.14%
Moreirense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.69%27.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25%62.75%
Score Analysis
    Desportivo das Aves 30.52%
    Moreirense 41.81%
    Draw 27.67%
Desportivo das AvesDrawMoreirense
1-0 @ 10.02%
2-1 @ 6.94%
2-0 @ 5.35%
3-1 @ 2.47%
3-0 @ 1.9%
3-2 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 30.52%
1-1 @ 13.01%
0-0 @ 9.4%
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.67%
0-1 @ 12.2%
1-2 @ 8.45%
0-2 @ 7.92%
1-3 @ 3.65%
0-3 @ 3.43%
2-3 @ 1.95%
1-4 @ 1.19%
0-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 41.81%