Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Moreirense | Draw | Famalicao |
| 38.95% | 26.68% | 34.36% |
| Both teams to score 51.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.76% | 53.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.2% | 74.79% |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% | 26.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.06% | 61.94% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.59% | 29.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.6% | 65.4% |
| Score Analysis |
| Moreirense | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 6.85% 3-1 @ 3.69% 3-0 @ 3.02% 3-2 @ 2.26% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.18% Total : 38.95% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 7.85% 2-2 @ 5.13% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.68% | 0-1 @ 9.6% 1-2 @ 7.77% 0-2 @ 5.88% 1-3 @ 3.17% 0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.36% |