Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27

Jun 18, 2020 at 9.15pm UK

Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Tondela

Cabral (13'), Sporar (31' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Tavares (10'), Almeida (87'), Alves (89')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Tondela.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 72.11%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 9.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.75%) and 3-0 (10.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.52%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Tondela
72.11%	18.27%	9.63%

Both teams to score 40.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.39%

48.61%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.27%

70.73%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.89%

12.11%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.33%

37.67%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.18%

53.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.84%

87.16%

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 72.09%

Tondela 9.63%

Draw 18.27%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Tondela
2-0 @ 14.52% 1-0 @ 13.75% 3-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9% 3-1 @ 6.33% 4-0 @ 5.4% 4-1 @ 3.34% 5-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.96% 5-1 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.84% Total : 72.09%	1-1 @ 8.52% 0-0 @ 6.52% 2-2 @ 2.79% Other @ 0.44% Total : 18.27%	0-1 @ 4.04% 1-2 @ 2.64% 0-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.7% Total : 9.63%