Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 79.62%. A draw had a probability of 13.5% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 6.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.34%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.4%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Tondela |
| 79.62% | 13.47% | 6.91% |
| Both teams to score 44.77% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.1% | 35.9% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42% | 57.99% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.89% | 7.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.11% | 25.89% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.2% | 51.8% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.13% | 85.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Tondela |
| 2-0 @ 12.87% 3-0 @ 11.34% 1-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 8.47% 4-0 @ 7.51% 3-1 @ 7.47% 4-1 @ 4.94% 5-0 @ 3.97% 5-1 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.46% 6-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.62% 6-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.73% Total : 79.61% | 1-1 @ 6.4% 0-0 @ 3.68% 2-2 @ 2.78% Other @ 0.6% Total : 13.47% | 0-1 @ 2.42% 1-2 @ 2.11% Other @ 2.39% Total : 6.91% |