Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

Jul 10, 2020 at 9.30pm UK

Estadio Capital do Movel

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 5
Braga

Uilton (78')
Reabciuk (1'), Carlos (12'), Eustaquio (14'), de Brito Gonzaga (28'), Pedrinho (28')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Paulinho (3' pen., 34' pen., 38'), Horta (47'), Galeno (89')
Palhinha (30'), Amador (71'), Wilson (82')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Braga.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 19.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.09%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Braga
19.06%	24%	56.94%

Both teams to score 47.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.08%

52.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.47%

74.53%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.92%

42.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.49%

78.51%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.58%

18.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.42%

49.58%

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 19.07%

Braga 56.93%

Draw 24%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 6.71% 2-1 @ 4.91% 2-0 @ 2.9% 3-1 @ 1.42% 3-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.07%	1-1 @ 11.35% 0-0 @ 7.75% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.74% Total : 24%	0-1 @ 13.11% 0-2 @ 11.09% 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-3 @ 6.26% 1-3 @ 5.42% 0-4 @ 2.65% 2-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 2.29% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.19% Total : 56.93%

Pacos de Ferreira1 - 5Braga

Data Analysis

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Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 5
Braga