Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 71.91%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Desportivo das Aves had a probability of 10.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Desportivo das Aves win it was 0-1 (3.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Braga | Draw | Desportivo das Aves |
| 71.91% | 17.24% | 10.85% |
| Both teams to score 48.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.5% | 40.5% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.12% | 62.88% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.07% | 9.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.13% | 32.87% |
| Desportivo das Aves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.85% | 46.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.16% | 81.84% |
| Score Analysis |
| Braga | Draw | Desportivo das Aves |
| 2-0 @ 12.22% 1-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 9.45% 3-0 @ 9.41% 3-1 @ 7.28% 4-0 @ 5.43% 4-1 @ 4.2% 3-2 @ 2.81% 5-0 @ 2.51% 5-1 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.63% 6-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.47% Total : 71.9% | 1-1 @ 8.19% 0-0 @ 4.58% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.81% Total : 17.24% | 0-1 @ 3.55% 1-2 @ 3.17% 0-2 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.83% Total : 10.85% |