Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30

Jul 4, 2020 at 5pm UK

Estadio do Bonfim

Setubal
2 - 3
Pacos de Ferreira

Mathiola (27'), Pires (45+4')
Carlinhos (63')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Tanque (47'), de Brito Gonzaga (61'), Denilson (72')
Silva (39'), Reabciuk (79')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Setubal and Pacos de Ferreira.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.24%). The likeliest Vitoria de Setubal win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Setubal	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
29.31%	27.5%	43.19%

Both teams to score 47.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.27%

57.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.52%

78.47%

Vitoria de Setubal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.75%

35.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.99%

72.01%

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.51%

26.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.32%

61.68%

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Setubal 29.31%

Pacos de Ferreira 43.18%

Draw 27.5%

Vitoria de Setubal	Draw	Pacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 9.74% 2-1 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 5.08% 3-1 @ 2.34% 3-0 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.09% Total : 29.31%	1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.34% 2-2 @ 4.48% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.5%	0-1 @ 12.4% 1-2 @ 8.59% 0-2 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 3.8% 0-3 @ 3.65% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 1.26% 0-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.04% Total : 43.18%

Setubal2 - 3Pacos de Ferreira

Data Analysis

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Setubal
2 - 3
Pacos de Ferreira