Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Sporting Lisbon win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Benfica in this match.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
55.67% | 22.57% | 21.76% |
Both teams to score 55.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.34% | 43.65% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.95% | 66.05% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.46% | 15.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.53% | 44.47% |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.01% | 33.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.33% | 70.67% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.83% 2-0 @ 9.15% 3-1 @ 6.13% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-2 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 2.85% 4-0 @ 2.64% 4-2 @ 1.54% 5-1 @ 1.06% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.59% Total : 55.67% | 1-1 @ 10.61% 2-2 @ 5.33% 0-0 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.57% | 1-2 @ 5.73% 0-1 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.08% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.17% Total : 21.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 44 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |