Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

Jul 25, 2020 at 9.15pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
2 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Seferovic (28'), Vinicius (88')
Dias (20'), Gabriel (22'), Almeida (73'), Vinicius (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sporar (69')
Neto (36'), Cabral (71'), Wendel (77')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Sporting Lisbon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Sporting Lisbon win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Benfica in this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
55.67%	22.57%	21.76%

Both teams to score 55.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.34%

43.65%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.95%

66.05%

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.46%

15.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.53%

44.47%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.01%

33.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.33%

70.67%

Score Analysis

Benfica 55.67%

Sporting Lisbon 21.76%

Draw 22.57%

Benfica	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.83% 2-0 @ 9.15% 3-1 @ 6.13% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-2 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 2.85% 4-0 @ 2.64% 4-2 @ 1.54% 5-1 @ 1.06% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.59% Total : 55.67%	1-1 @ 10.61% 2-2 @ 5.33% 0-0 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.57%	1-2 @ 5.73% 0-1 @ 5.7% 0-2 @ 3.08% 1-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.17% Total : 21.76%