Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 67.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 12.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.13%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Benfica |
| 12.65% | 20.25% | 67.1% |
| Both teams to score 44.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.88% | 49.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.81% | 71.19% |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.48% | 48.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.39% | 83.61% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.29% | 13.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.04% | 40.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Maritimo | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 4.81% 2-1 @ 3.46% 2-0 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.64% Total : 12.65% | 1-1 @ 9.56% 0-0 @ 6.65% 2-2 @ 3.43% Other @ 0.6% Total : 20.25% | 0-1 @ 13.21% 0-2 @ 13.13% 1-2 @ 9.5% 0-3 @ 8.7% 1-3 @ 6.29% 0-4 @ 4.32% 1-4 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-5 @ 1.72% 1-5 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.45% Total : 67.09% |