Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 8.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.71%) and 1-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 76.43% | 15.25% | 8.32% |
| Both teams to score 45.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.78% | 39.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.44% | 61.55% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.45% | 8.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.43% | 29.57% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.46% | 50.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.97% | 85.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 2-0 @ 13.06% 3-0 @ 10.71% 1-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 8.92% 3-1 @ 7.31% 4-0 @ 6.59% 4-1 @ 4.5% 5-0 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.5% 5-1 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.53% 6-0 @ 1.33% 6-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.98% Total : 76.41% | 1-1 @ 7.25% 0-0 @ 4.32% 2-2 @ 3.04% Other @ 0.63% Total : 15.25% | 0-1 @ 2.95% 1-2 @ 2.47% 0-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.9% Total : 8.32% |