Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 8.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.71%) and 1-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.25%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (2.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Santa Clara |
76.43% | 15.25% | 8.32% |
Both teams to score 45.23% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.78% | 39.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.44% | 61.55% |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.45% | 8.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.43% | 29.57% |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.46% | 50.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.97% | 85.03% |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Santa Clara |
2-0 @ 13.06% 3-0 @ 10.71% 1-0 @ 10.62% 2-1 @ 8.92% 3-1 @ 7.31% 4-0 @ 6.59% 4-1 @ 4.5% 5-0 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.5% 5-1 @ 2.21% 4-2 @ 1.53% 6-0 @ 1.33% 6-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.98% Total : 76.41% | 1-1 @ 7.25% 0-0 @ 4.32% 2-2 @ 3.04% Other @ 0.63% Total : 15.25% | 0-1 @ 2.95% 1-2 @ 2.47% 0-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.9% Total : 8.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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