Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 26.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Vitoria de Setubal win it was 1-0 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Setubal | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 26.34% | 28.27% | 45.39% |
| Both teams to score 43.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.31% | 61.68% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.49% | 81.5% |
| Vitoria de Setubal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.13% | 39.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.47% | 76.53% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.8% | 27.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.39% | 62.6% |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Setubal | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 5.97% 2-0 @ 4.59% 3-1 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.41% 3-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.39% Total : 26.34% | 1-1 @ 12.98% 0-0 @ 10.84% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.56% Total : 28.27% | 0-1 @ 14.11% 0-2 @ 9.19% 1-2 @ 8.45% 0-3 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.3% 1-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.79% Total : 45.38% |