Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28

Jun 22, 2020 at 9pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Portimao

Portimonense
3 - 2
Maritimo

Tabata (24'), Boa Morte (39'), Hackman (58')
Cande (19'), Hackman (66'), Willyan (68'), Dener (75'), Fernandes (84')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Pinho (52', 90+4')
Bebeto (30'), (61')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Maritimo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 21.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.63%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.16%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Maritimo
52.37%	26.11%	21.52%

Both teams to score 44.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.1%

57.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.39%

78.61%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.78%

22.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.36%

55.64%

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.7%

42.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.31%

78.69%

Score Analysis

Portimonense 52.36%

Maritimo 21.52%

Draw 26.11%

Portimonense	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 14.13% 2-0 @ 10.63% 2-1 @ 9.15% 3-0 @ 5.33% 3-1 @ 4.59% 4-0 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.83% Total : 52.36%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 9.4% 2-2 @ 3.94% Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.11%	0-1 @ 8.09% 1-2 @ 5.23% 0-2 @ 3.48% 1-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.13% 0-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.09% Total : 21.52%