Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 17.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.11%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Benfica |
| 17.64% | 22.46% | 59.9% |
| Both teams to score 49.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.14% | 48.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.04% | 70.95% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.63% | 41.36% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.12% | 77.88% |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.08% | 15.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.83% | 45.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 5.81% 2-1 @ 4.71% 2-0 @ 2.57% 3-1 @ 1.39% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.89% Total : 17.64% | 1-1 @ 10.68% 0-0 @ 6.58% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.46% | 0-1 @ 12.09% 0-2 @ 11.11% 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-3 @ 6.81% 1-3 @ 6.01% 0-4 @ 3.13% 1-4 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 2.65% 2-4 @ 1.22% 0-5 @ 1.15% 1-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.11% Total : 59.88% |