Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Tondela win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Famalicao in this match.
Result | ||
Tondela | Draw | Famalicao |
35.45% | 27.04% | 37.5% |
Both teams to score 50.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.42% | 54.58% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.07% | 75.92% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.61% | 29.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.62% | 65.37% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.85% | 28.15% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.16% | 63.83% |
Score Analysis |
Tondela | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 7.86% 2-0 @ 6.2% 3-1 @ 3.21% 3-0 @ 2.53% 3-2 @ 2.04% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.49% Total : 35.45% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.27% 2-2 @ 4.98% Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.04% | 0-1 @ 10.48% 1-2 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.79% Total : 37.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 44 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |