Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32

Jul 15, 2020 at 9.30pm UK

Estadio do Dragao

Porto
2 - 0
Sporting Lisbon

Pereira (64'), Marega (90+1')
Telles (49'), Pepe (57'), Lopes (88'), Manafa (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cabral (39'), Wendel (90+7')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Sporting Lisbon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 21.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Sporting Lisbon win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
54.64%	23.44%	21.92%

Both teams to score 53.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.78%

47.21%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.55%

69.44%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.84%

17.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.59%

47.41%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.16%

35.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.39%

72.61%

Score Analysis

Porto 54.63%

Sporting Lisbon 21.92%

Draw 23.43%

Porto	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 9.8% 2-0 @ 9.55% 3-1 @ 5.76% 3-0 @ 5.61% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.54% 4-0 @ 2.47% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.81% Total : 54.63%	1-1 @ 11.12% 0-0 @ 6.15% 2-2 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.43%	0-1 @ 6.31% 1-2 @ 5.71% 0-2 @ 3.24% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.88% Total : 21.92%