Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30

Jul 5, 2020 at 9.30pm UK

Estadio do Dragao

Porto
5 - 0
Belenenses

Tiquinho (31'), Marega (58'), Telles (75' pen.), Vieira (82'), Diaz (90+2')
Otavio (28'), Oliveira (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Keita (41'), Henriques (49'), Dieguinho (69')

Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Belenenses.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 7.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.41%) and 3-0 (11.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.38%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Belenenses
76.65%	15.68%	7.67%

Both teams to score 40.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.29%

43.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.89%

66.11%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.41%

9.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.91%

32.09%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.82%

55.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

12.01%

87.99%

Score Analysis

Porto 76.64%

Belenenses 7.67%

Draw 15.68%

Porto	Draw	Belenenses
2-0 @ 14.54% 1-0 @ 12.41% 3-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 8.65% 3-1 @ 6.76% 4-0 @ 6.66% 4-1 @ 3.96% 5-0 @ 3.12% 3-2 @ 2.01% 5-1 @ 1.86% 6-0 @ 1.22% 4-2 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.92% Total : 76.64%	1-1 @ 7.38% 0-0 @ 5.3% 2-2 @ 2.57% Other @ 0.44% Total : 15.68%	0-1 @ 3.15% 1-2 @ 2.19% 0-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.39% Total : 7.67%