Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 18.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Porto |
| 18.92% | 24.41% | 56.67% |
| Both teams to score 45.86% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.35% | 54.64% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.02% | 75.97% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.74% | 43.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.49% | 79.51% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.83% | 19.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.16% | 50.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 6.95% 2-1 @ 4.81% 2-0 @ 2.91% 3-1 @ 1.34% 3-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.79% Total : 18.92% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 8.29% 2-2 @ 3.97% Other @ 0.67% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 13.69% 0-2 @ 11.31% 1-2 @ 9.48% 0-3 @ 6.23% 1-3 @ 5.22% 0-4 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 2.16% 2-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.91% Total : 56.66% |