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Nacional
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Oct 24, 2020 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Pacos de Ferreira logo

Nacional
1 - 1
Pacos de Ferreira

Riascos (57')
Henrique de Oliveira Correia (7'), Gorre (21')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Eustaquio (74')
Amaral (27')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Nacional and Pacos de Ferreira.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
NacionalDrawPacos de Ferreira
44.3%27.6%28.1%
Both teams to score 46.68%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.43%58.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.86%79.14%
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69%26.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.57%61.43%
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.34%36.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.56%73.44%
Score Analysis
    Nacional 44.29%
    Pacos de Ferreira 28.1%
    Draw 27.59%
NacionalDrawPacos de Ferreira
1-0 @ 12.87%
2-1 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 1.28%
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 44.29%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 9.64%
2-2 @ 4.33%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 9.68%
1-2 @ 6.49%
0-2 @ 4.86%
1-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 28.1%