Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 36.9%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (10.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Famalicao |
36.9% | 27.09% | 36% |
Both teams to score 50.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.26% | 54.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.94% | 76.06% |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.42% | 28.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.62% | 64.38% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.88% | 29.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.95% | 65.05% |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 10.42% 2-1 @ 8.05% 2-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.68% Total : 36.9% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.32% 2-2 @ 4.97% Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 10.26% 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 6.33% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.55% Total : 36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
11 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
16 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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