Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Famalicao |
| 28.81% | 26.93% | 44.26% |
| Both teams to score 48.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.15% | 55.85% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.03% | 76.96% |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.37% | 34.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.64% | 71.35% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.91% | 25.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.22% | 59.78% |
| Score Analysis |
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 9.21% 2-1 @ 6.75% 2-0 @ 4.88% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-0 @ 1.73% 3-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.19% Total : 28.81% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 12.01% 1-2 @ 8.81% 0-2 @ 8.31% 1-3 @ 4.06% 0-3 @ 3.83% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.36% Total : 44.25% |