Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Farense win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SC Farense | Draw | Famalicao |
| 36.85% | 27% | 36.15% |
| Both teams to score 50.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.62% | 54.37% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.24% | 75.75% |
| SC Farense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.56% | 28.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.8% | 64.19% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.14% | 28.85% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.28% | 64.72% |
| Score Analysis |
| SC Farense | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 8.06% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 3.38% 3-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.71% Total : 36.84% | 1-1 @ 12.82% 0-0 @ 8.21% 2-2 @ 5.01% Other @ 0.96% Total : 27% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 7.97% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 3.3% 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.14% |