Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 57.12%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Famalicao win it was 2-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 20.83% | 22.05% | 57.12% |
| Both teams to score 56.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.52% | 42.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.12% | 64.88% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.79% | 34.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.1% | 70.9% |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.34% | 14.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.2% | 42.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 2-1 @ 5.54% 1-0 @ 5.38% 2-0 @ 2.89% 3-1 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.11% Total : 20.83% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 2-2 @ 5.32% 0-0 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-1 @ 9.63% 0-2 @ 9.24% 1-3 @ 6.35% 0-3 @ 5.92% 2-3 @ 3.41% 1-4 @ 3.05% 0-4 @ 2.84% 2-4 @ 1.63% 1-5 @ 1.17% 0-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.88% Total : 57.12% |