Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.