Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 54.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (6.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 21.7% | 24.22% | 54.08% |
| Both teams to score 50.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.3% | 50.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.4% | 72.6% |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.99% | 38.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.22% | 74.78% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.34% | 18.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.01% | 49.99% |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 6.86% 2-1 @ 5.57% 2-0 @ 3.32% 3-1 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.51% 3-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.57% Total : 21.7% | 1-1 @ 11.51% 0-0 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 11.9% 0-2 @ 10% 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-3 @ 5.59% 1-3 @ 5.41% 2-3 @ 2.62% 0-4 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 2.27% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.17% Total : 54.07% |