Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (8.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tondela | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 23.87% | 26.38% | 49.74% |
| Both teams to score 46.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.16% | 56.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.23% | 77.76% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.63% | 39.37% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.93% | 76.07% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.07% | 22.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.31% | 56.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tondela | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 8.41% 2-1 @ 5.78% 2-0 @ 3.92% 3-1 @ 1.8% 3-2 @ 1.32% 3-0 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.43% Total : 23.87% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 9.03% 2-2 @ 4.25% Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.38% | 0-1 @ 13.29% 0-2 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 9.13% 0-3 @ 4.81% 1-3 @ 4.48% 2-3 @ 2.09% 0-4 @ 1.77% 1-4 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.74% Total : 49.74% |