Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 61.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 16.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.43%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tondela | Draw | Braga |
| 16.76% | 22.12% | 61.11% |
| Both teams to score 48.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.12% | 48.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.03% | 70.97% |
| Tondela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.54% | 42.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.17% | 78.83% |
| Braga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.48% | 15.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.57% | 44.43% |
| Score Analysis |
| Tondela | Draw | Braga |
| 1-0 @ 5.64% 2-1 @ 4.5% 2-0 @ 2.42% 3-1 @ 1.29% 3-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.71% Total : 16.76% | 1-1 @ 10.51% 0-0 @ 6.59% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.82% Total : 22.12% | 0-1 @ 12.27% 0-2 @ 11.43% 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-3 @ 7.1% 1-3 @ 6.09% 0-4 @ 3.31% 1-4 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.61% 0-5 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 1.21% 1-5 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.16% Total : 61.1% |