Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 48.23%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 48.23% | 25.73% | 26.03% |
| Both teams to score 50.57% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.17% | 52.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.55% | 74.44% |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% | 21.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.82% | 55.17% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.75% | 35.24% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28% | 72% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 11.72% 2-1 @ 9.28% 2-0 @ 8.9% 3-1 @ 4.7% 3-0 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.23% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 7.72% 2-2 @ 4.84% Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.05% 1-2 @ 6.38% 0-2 @ 4.2% 1-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 2.05% Total : 26.03% |